Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights
TV CARNHL, HHN·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Hurricanes
to win
53%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.162vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.096vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.860vs.8215v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · VGK Ryan Craig
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.552nd
- Goals for / game
- 14th3.22
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 12th2.95
- 24.9%4th
- Power play
- 6th24.6%
- 80.5%11th
- Penalty kill
- 7th81.4%
- 50.1%16th
- Faceoffs
- 12th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).