Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers
TV CHSN, NBCSP+·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Blackhawks
to win
64%
Flyers
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI.463vs.495win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI-.223vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors PHI-.081vs.010GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PHI-.612vs.4655v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PHIPHI at home
- Back-to-backfavors CHICHI and PHI played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Flyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · PHI Rick Tocchet
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).