Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks
TV CHSN, NBCSP·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
57%Flyers
to win
43%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.8
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI.495vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI.009vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors PHI.010vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PHI.465vs-.6125v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · CHI Jeff Blashill
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).