New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks
TV NBCSCA, MSG·SAP Center at San Jose
Our win probability
and the three reasons
57%Rangers
to win
43%
Sharks
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.8
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.476vs.479win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYR-.057vs-.1145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR.112vs-.137GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors SJSSJS at home
- Back-to-backfavors NYRSJS played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
Sharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYR Mike Sullivan · SJS Ryan Warsofsky
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8723rd
- Goals for / game
- 17th3.04
- 3.0415th
- Goals against / game
- 30th3.54
- 24.7%5th
- Power play
- 16th21.2%
- 79.9%15th
- Penalty kill
- 26th76.4%
- 54.5%1st
- Faceoffs
- 26th47.8%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).