San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers
TV NBCSCA, MSG·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Sharks
to win
57%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.479vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYR-.114vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR-.137vs.112GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · NYR Mike Sullivan
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0417th
- Goals for / game
- 23rd2.87
- 3.5430th
- Goals against / game
- 15th3.04
- 21.2%16th
- Power play
- 5th24.7%
- 76.4%26th
- Penalty kill
- 15th79.9%
- 47.8%26th
- Faceoffs
- 1st54.5%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).