Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings
TV ABTV , Prime Video·Crypto.com Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Stars
to win
57%
Kings
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.527vs.489win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.038vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL.109vs.035GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors LAK.390vs.6265v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors LAKLAK at home
- Back-to-backfavors DALDAL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersStars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
Kings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DAL Glen Gulutzan · LAK Peter Laviolette
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
A. Kempe36 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).