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Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars

TV ABTV , Prime Video·American Airlines Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons
LAK45%
Kings
to win
55%DAL
Stars
Expected goals
LAK 2.7–3.1 DAL
Goes to overtime
22%
← favors LAKfavors DAL →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL
    .489vs.527win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL
    .038vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL
    .035vs.109GSAx / 60
  • Projected lineupsfavors LAK
    .673vs.5255v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
  • Home icefavors DAL
    DAL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
LAKKings
DALStars

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: LAK Peter Laviolette · DAL Glen Gulutzan

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
LAKDAL
2.6829th
Goals for / game
9th3.33
2.907th
Goals against / game
2nd2.71
17.0%28th
Power play
2nd28.6%
74.6%30th
Penalty kill
13th80.3%
49.8%17th
Faceoffs
7th51.6%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).