Utah Mammoth at Detroit Red Wings
TV DSN, Utah16·Little Caesars Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Mammoth
to win
51%
Red Wings
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.500vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.093vs-.0605v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA.030vs-.027GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors DETDET at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
Red Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · DET Todd McLellan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 22nd2.91
- 2.9310th
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 20.0%18th
- Power play
- 12th22.6%
- 78.1%19th
- Penalty kill
- 23rd77.1%
- 49.2%23rd
- Faceoffs
- 10th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).