Detroit Red Wings at Utah Mammoth
TV DSN, Utah16·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Red Wings
to win
51%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.496vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.060vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA-.027vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.273vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
- Back-to-backfavors DETUTA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRed Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DET Todd McLellan · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.9122nd
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 10th2.93
- 22.6%12th
- Power play
- 18th20.0%
- 77.1%23rd
- Penalty kill
- 19th78.1%
- 51.0%10th
- Faceoffs
- 23rd49.2%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).