Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks
TV CHSN, SCRIPPS·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Golden Knights
to win
47%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.050vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
- Back-to-backfavors VGKVGK played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · CHI Jeff Blashill
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).