Sharks at Canucks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Sharks at Canucks

San Jose Sharks(39-35-8)

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Sat, Dec 19, 10:00 PM ESTTV NBCSCA, SN·Rogers Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

53%

Sharks

to win

47%

Canucks

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors SJS
.479vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SJS
-.114vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VAN
-.137vs-.089GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors SJS
.077vs-1.045v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors VAN
VAN at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Sharks

Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/60
43% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/60
36% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/60
20% to start63 career GP

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · VAN Manny Malhotra

Leaders

vs

M. Celebrini
115
Points
E. Pettersson
51
M. Celebrini
45
Goals
J. DeBrusk
23
M. Celebrini
70
Assists
F. Hronek
41

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.0417th
Goals for / game: 30th2.56; 3.5430th
Goals against / game: 32nd3.83; 21.2%16th
Power play: 14th21.8%; 76.4%26th
Penalty kill: 32nd71.5%; 47.8%26th
Faceoffs: 22nd49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 29@
Dec 14@
Dec 19@this game
Apr 3@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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