Canucks at Sharks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Canucks at Sharks

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

San Jose Sharks(39-35-8)

Mon, Dec 14, 10:00 PM ESTTV NBCSCA, SN+·SAP Center at San Jose

Our win probability

and the three reasons

43%

Canucks

to win

57%

Sharks

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors SJS
.439vs.479win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SJS
-.225vs-.1145v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VAN
-.089vs-.137GSAx / 60
Home icefavors SJS
SJS at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

Sharks

Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/60
43% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/60
36% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/60
20% to start63 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · SJS Ryan Warsofsky

Leaders

vs

E. Pettersson
51
Points
M. Celebrini
115
J. DeBrusk
23
Goals
M. Celebrini
45
F. Hronek
41
Assists
M. Celebrini
70

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.5630th
Goals for / game: 17th3.04; 3.8332nd
Goals against / game: 30th3.54; 21.8%14th
Power play: 16th21.2%; 71.5%32nd
Penalty kill: 26th76.4%; 49.3%22nd
Faceoffs: 26th47.8%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 29@
Dec 14@this game
Dec 19@
Apr 3@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Sign in to join the chat.