Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets
TV Prime Video, SNW·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Stars
to win
49%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.527vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.038vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.109vs.117GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors DAL.390vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersStars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DAL Glen Gulutzan · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).