Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars
TV Prime Video, KDFI·American Airlines Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Jets
to win
59%
Stars
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.491vs.527win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL-.048vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.117vs.109GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors DAL.027vs.3905v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors DALDAL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersJets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
Stars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · DAL Glen Gulutzan
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).