Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers
TV Utah16, SN·Rogers Place
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Mammoth
to win
54%
Oilers
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.500vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.093vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.030vs.037GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors EDM.397vs.4755v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors EDMEDM at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
Oilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · EDM Mike Babcock
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).