Oilers at Mammoth — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Oilers at Mammoth

Edmonton Oilers(41-30-11)

Utah Mammoth(43-33-6)

Sat, Oct 17, 10:00 PM EDTTV Utah16, SN·Delta Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons

47%

Oilers

to win

53%

Mammoth

Expected goals: 3.0–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signaleven
.504vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
.040vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signaleven
.037vs.030GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors EDM
.475vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors UTA
UTA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Oilers

Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/60
50% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/60
42% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/60
8% to start39 career GP

Mammoth

Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/60
99% to start268 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · UTA André Tourigny

Leaders

vs

C. McDavid
138
Points
C. Keller
88
C. McDavid
48
Goals
D. Guenther
40
C. McDavid
90
Assists
C. Keller
62

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.446th
Goals for / game: 10th3.27; 3.2325th
Goals against / game: 10th2.93; 30.6%1st
Power play: 18th20.0%; 77.8%20th
Penalty kill: 19th78.1%; 52.6%6th
Faceoffs: 23rd49.2%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 15@
Oct 17@this game
Dec 19@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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