Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche
TV CARNHL, HHN·Ball Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Hurricanes
to win
60%
Avalanche
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.542vs.551win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.162vs.2425v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL-.096vs.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.860vs.3375v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors COLCOL at home
- Back-to-backfavors CARCAR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Avalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · COL Jared Bednar
Leaders
vs- Points
S. Aho80
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- AssistsS. Aho53
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.552nd
- Goals for / game
- 1st3.63
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 1st2.40
- 24.9%4th
- Power play
- 27th17.1%
- 80.5%11th
- Penalty kill
- 1st84.6%
- 50.1%16th
- Faceoffs
- 8th51.2%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).