Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils
TV ESPN+, HULU·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Maple Leafs
to win
57%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors NJD.479vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NJD-.113vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors TOR.052vs-.029GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMaple Leafs
Sergei Bobrovsky-0.01 GSAx/6070% to start923 career GP
Anthony Stolarz+0.20 GSAx/6030% to start176 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: TOR Jim Hiller · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).