New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs
TV MSGSN, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Devils
to win
49%
Maple Leafs
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors NJD.485vs.479win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NJD-.033vs-.1135v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors TOR-.029vs.052GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NJD.249vs-.1055v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors TORTOR at home
- Back-to-backfavors NJDNJD and TOR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
Maple Leafs
Sergei Bobrovsky-0.01 GSAx/6070% to start923 career GP
Anthony Stolarz+0.20 GSAx/6030% to start176 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · TOR Jim Hiller
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).