Ducks at Canadiens — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Ducks at Canadiens

Anaheim Ducks(43-33-6)

Montréal Canadiens(48-24-10)

Thu, Dec 10, 7:00 PM ESTTV Prime Video, KCOP-13·Centre Bell

Our win probability

and the three reasons

45%

Ducks

to win

55%

Canadiens

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL
.486vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA
.009vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL
-.049vs.129GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors MTL
.007vs.4315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors MTL
MTL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Ducks

Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/60
49% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/60
32% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/60
18% to start151 career GP

Canadiens

Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/60
62% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/60
38% to start81 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · MTL Martin St. Louis

Leaders

vs

C. Gauthier
69
Points
N. Suzuki
101
C. Gauthier
41
Goals
C. Caufield
51
J. LaCombe
48
Assists
N. Suzuki
72

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2313th
Goals for / game: 7th3.40; 3.5129th
Goals against / game: 16th3.06; 18.6%23rd
Power play: 10th23.1%; 76.4%27th
Penalty kill: 18th78.2%; 48.0%25th
Faceoffs: 11th51.0%

Season series

first meeting

Dec 10@this game
Feb 27@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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