Montréal Canadiens at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, TSN2·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Canadiens
to win
56%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.072vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MTL.431vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · UTA André Tourigny
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).