Mammoth at Canadiens — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Mammoth at Canadiens

Utah Mammoth(43-33-6)

Montréal Canadiens(48-24-10)

Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ESTTV Utah16, TSN2·Centre Bell

Our win probability

and the three reasons

48%

Mammoth

to win

52%

Canadiens

Expected goals: 3.0–3.1
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL
.500vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
.093vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL
.030vs.129GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors MTL
.397vs.4315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors MTL
MTL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Mammoth

Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/60
99% to start268 career GP

Canadiens

Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/60
62% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/60
38% to start81 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · MTL Martin St. Louis

Leaders

vs

C. Keller
88
Points
N. Suzuki
101
D. Guenther
40
Goals
C. Caufield
51
C. Keller
62
Assists
N. Suzuki
72

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 7th3.40; 2.9310th
Goals against / game: 16th3.06; 20.0%18th
Power play: 10th23.1%; 78.1%19th
Penalty kill: 18th78.2%; 49.2%23rd
Faceoffs: 11th51.0%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 5@this game
Nov 30@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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