Wild at Sharks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Wild at Sharks

Minnesota Wild(46-24-12)

San Jose Sharks(39-35-8)

Mon, Nov 23, 10:00 PM ESTTV MINNHL, Wild+·SAP Center at San Jose

Our win probability

and the three reasons

52%

Wild

to win

48%

Sharks

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN
.511vs.479win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN
.010vs-.1145v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MIN
-.090vs-.137GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors MIN
.331vs.0775v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors SJS
SJS at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Wild

Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/60
60% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/60
40% to start50 career GP

Sharks

Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/60
43% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/60
36% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/60
20% to start63 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: MIN John Hynes · SJS Ryan Warsofsky

Leaders

vs

K. Kaprizov
89
Points
M. Celebrini
115
K. Kaprizov
45
Goals
M. Celebrini
45
Q. Hughes
69
Assists
M. Celebrini
70

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 17th3.04; 2.874th
Goals against / game: 30th3.54; 25.2%3rd
Power play: 16th21.2%; 79.8%16th
Penalty kill: 26th76.4%; 46.6%30th
Faceoffs: 26th47.8%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 6@
Nov 23@this game
Apr 8@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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