Sharks at Wild — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Sharks at Wild

San Jose Sharks(39-35-8)

Minnesota Wild(46-24-12)

Fri, Nov 6, 8:00 PM ESTTV MINNHL, Wild+·Grand Casino Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

41%

Sharks

to win

59%

Wild

Expected goals: 2.7–3.3
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN
.479vs.511win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN
-.114vs.0105v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MIN
-.137vs-.090GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors MIN
.077vs.3315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors MIN
MIN at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Sharks

Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/60
43% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/60
36% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/60
20% to start63 career GP

Wild

Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/60
60% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/60
40% to start50 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · MIN John Hynes

Leaders

vs

M. Celebrini
115
Points
K. Kaprizov
89
M. Celebrini
45
Goals
K. Kaprizov
45
M. Celebrini
70
Assists
Q. Hughes
69

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.0417th
Goals for / game: 10th3.27; 3.5430th
Goals against / game: 4th2.87; 21.2%16th
Power play: 3rd25.2%; 76.4%26th
Penalty kill: 16th79.8%; 47.8%26th
Faceoffs: 30th46.6%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 6@this game
Nov 23@
Apr 8@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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