Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues
TV STLNHL, BN+·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Oilers
to win
50%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.504vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM.040vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM.037vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors EDM.475vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors EDMEDM and STL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).