Rangers at Flames — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Rangers at Flames

New York Rangers(34-39-9)

Calgary Flames(34-39-9)

Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ESTTV MSGSN, Prime·Scotiabank Saddledome

Our win probability

and the three reasons

51%

Rangers

to win

49%

Flames

Expected goals: 3.0–3.0
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CGY
.476vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYR
-.057vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR
.114vs.016GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors NYR
.330vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors CGY
CGY at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Rangers

Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/60
59% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/60
41% to start350 career GP

Flames

Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/60
75% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/60
25% to start37 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: NYR Mike Sullivan · CGY Ryan Huska

Leaders

vs

M. Zibanejad
78
Points
M. Coronato
45
P. Dorofeyev
37
Goals
M. Frost
22
M. Zibanejad
44
Assists
M. Coronato
27

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.8723rd
Goals for / game: 32nd2.54; 3.0415th
Goals against / game: 21st3.12; 24.7%5th
Power play: 31st16.2%; 79.9%15th
Penalty kill: 12th80.4%; 54.5%1st
Faceoffs: 21st49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 11@this game
Nov 28@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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