Wild at Canadiens — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Wild at Canadiens

Minnesota Wild(46-24-12)

Montréal Canadiens(48-24-10)

Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ESTTV MINNHL, Wild+·Centre Bell

Our win probability

and the three reasons

47%

Wild

to win

53%

Canadiens

Expected goals: 2.9–3.1
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signaleven
.511vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN
.010vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL
-.090vs.129GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors MTL
.331vs.4315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors MTL
MTL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Wild

Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/60
60% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/60
40% to start50 career GP

Canadiens

Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/60
62% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/60
38% to start81 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: MIN John Hynes · MTL Martin St. Louis

Leaders

vs

K. Kaprizov
89
Points
N. Suzuki
101
K. Kaprizov
45
Goals
C. Caufield
51
Q. Hughes
69
Assists
N. Suzuki
72

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 7th3.40; 2.874th
Goals against / game: 16th3.06; 25.2%3rd
Power play: 10th23.1%; 79.8%16th
Penalty kill: 18th78.2%; 46.6%30th
Faceoffs: 11th51.0%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 10@this game
Dec 19@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Sign in to join the chat.