Flyers at Flames — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Flyers at Flames

Philadelphia Flyers(43-27-12)

Calgary Flames(34-39-9)

Sun, Nov 8, 7:00 PM ESTTV NBCSP, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Our win probability

and the three reasons

53%

Flyers

to win

47%

Flames

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI
.495vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI
.009vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signaleven
.010vs.016GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors PHI
.465vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors CGY
CGY at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Flyers

Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/60
54% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/60
46% to start131 career GP

Flames

Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/60
75% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/60
25% to start37 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · CGY Ryan Huska

Leaders

vs

T. Konecny
68
Points
M. Coronato
45
O. Tippett
28
Goals
M. Frost
22
T. Konecny
41
Assists
M. Coronato
27

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.9321st
Goals for / game: 32nd2.54; 2.919th
Goals against / game: 21st3.12; 15.7%32nd
Power play: 31st16.2%; 77.6%22nd
Penalty kill: 12th80.4%; 49.5%18th
Faceoffs: 21st49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 8@this game
Dec 11@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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