Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders
TV MSGSN, SN·UBS Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Oilers
to win
48%
Islanders
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM.504vs.488win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM.040vs-.0695v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI.037vs.078GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors EDM.475vs-.0345v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYINYI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Islanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · NYI Peter DeBoer
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.446th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 3.2325th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 30.6%1st
- Power play
- 30th16.5%
- 77.8%20th
- Penalty kill
- 10th80.8%
- 52.6%6th
- Faceoffs
- 5th52.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).