New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche
TV ALT, MSGSN·Ball Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
31%Devils
to win
69%
Avalanche
- Expected goals
- 2.4–3.6
- Goes to overtime
- 20%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.485vs.551win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL-.033vs.2425v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL-.029vs.096GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors COLCOL at home
- Back-to-backfavors NJDNJD played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
Avalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · COL Jared Bednar
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7627th
- Goals for / game
- 1st3.63
- 3.0918th
- Goals against / game
- 1st2.40
- 22.0%13th
- Power play
- 27th17.1%
- 79.3%17th
- Penalty kill
- 1st84.6%
- 50.5%14th
- Faceoffs
- 8th51.2%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).