Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils
TV ALT, MSG 2·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Avalanche
to win
49%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.551vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.242vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.096vs-.029GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
- Back-to-backfavors COLCOL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersAvalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: COL Jared Bednar · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.631st
- Goals for / game
- 27th2.76
- 2.401st
- Goals against / game
- 18th3.09
- 17.1%27th
- Power play
- 13th22.0%
- 84.6%1st
- Penalty kill
- 17th79.3%
- 51.2%8th
- Faceoffs
- 14th50.5%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).