Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets
TV TNT, truTV·Princess Auto Stadium
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Canadiens
to win
54%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WPG-.072vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.129vs.117GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
N. Suzuki101
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.407th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 3.0616th
- Goals against / game
- 21st3.12
- 23.1%10th
- Power play
- 24th18.5%
- 78.2%18th
- Penalty kill
- 21st77.6%
- 51.0%11th
- Faceoffs
- 9th51.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).