Vegas Golden Knights at Columbus Blue Jackets
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Nationwide Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Golden Knights
to win
49%
Blue Jackets
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CBJ-.050vs.035GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CBJCBJ at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Blue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · CBJ Rick Bowness
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).