Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
35%Blue Jackets
to win
65%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.496vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.058vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CBJ.035vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK.300vs1.035v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
- Back-to-backfavors CBJCBJ played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CBJ Rick Bowness · VGK Ryan Craig
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).