Wild at Oilers — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Wild at Oilers

Minnesota Wild(46-24-12)

Edmonton Oilers(41-30-11)

Tue, Oct 20, 9:00 PM EDTTV MINNHL, Wild+·Rogers Place

Our win probability

and the three reasons

45%

Wild

to win

55%

Oilers

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN
.511vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM
.010vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM
-.090vs.037GSAx / 60
Home icefavors EDM
EDM at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Wild

Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/60
60% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/60
40% to start50 career GP

Oilers

Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/60
50% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/60
42% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/60
8% to start39 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: MIN John Hynes · EDM Mike Babcock

Leaders

vs

K. Kaprizov
89
Points
C. McDavid
138
K. Kaprizov
45
Goals
C. McDavid
48
Q. Hughes
69
Assists
C. McDavid
90

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 6th3.44; 2.874th
Goals against / game: 25th3.23; 25.2%3rd
Power play: 1st30.6%; 79.8%16th
Penalty kill: 20th77.8%; 46.6%30th
Faceoffs: 6th52.6%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 20@this game
Dec 8@
Mar 25@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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