Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders
TV Prime Video, MSGSN·UBS Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Ducks
to win
58%
Islanders
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.486vs.488win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA.009vs-.0695v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI-.049vs.078GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NYINYI at home
- Back-to-backfavors ANAANA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDucks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
Islanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · NYI Peter DeBoer
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2313th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 3.5129th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 18.6%23rd
- Power play
- 30th16.5%
- 76.4%27th
- Penalty kill
- 10th80.8%
- 48.0%25th
- Faceoffs
- 5th52.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).