Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights
TV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
35%Penguins
to win
65%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.510vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.036vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.237vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
- Back-to-backfavors PITPIT played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersPenguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PIT Dan Muse · VGK Ryan Craig
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.543rd
- Goals for / game
- 14th3.22
- 3.1524th
- Goals against / game
- 12th2.95
- 24.1%7th
- Power play
- 6th24.6%
- 81.4%6th
- Penalty kill
- 7th81.4%
- 48.2%24th
- Faceoffs
- 12th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).