Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings
TV ESPN+, HULU·Little Caesars Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Flyers
to win
52%
Red Wings
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.495vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI.009vs-.0605v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors PHI.010vs-.027GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors DETDET at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
Red Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · DET Todd McLellan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).