Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild
TV MINNHL, Wild+·Grand Casino Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Golden Knights
to win
47%
Wild
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.514vs.511win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs.0105v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.050vs-.090GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK.821vs.3315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors MINMIN at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Wild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · MIN John Hynes
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Stone28 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).