Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights
TV ESPN, SN+·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Wild
to win
60%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.511vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.010vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.090vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK.331vs1.035v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersWild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MIN John Hynes · VGK Ryan Craig
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Stone28 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).