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St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ian Cole's goal at 7:00 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.0 to 3.6; shots on goal were STL 31, CHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.2 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ian Cole (1 G), 2. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 A), 3. Spencer Knight (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    I. Cole1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    T. Bertuzzi2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    S. Knight29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0819114231
CHICHI152908322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:27

2nd period

  1. CHI
    I. Cole(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:00
  2. CHI
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:31
  3. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:04

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:44

Penalties

STL 27 PIM·CHI 17 PIM

1st

  • 13:42STLLogan Mailloux · Instigatordrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 13:42STLLogan Mailloux · Fightingdrawn by Cole Smith5 min
  • 13:42CHICole Smith · Trippingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 13:42CHICole Smith · Fightingdrawn by Logan Mailloux5 min
  • 13:42STLLogan Mailloux · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 17:24STLDalibor Dvorsky · Trippingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

2nd

  • 1:48STLConnor McMichael · High stickingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 4:46CHIIan Cole · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 5:54CHICole Smith · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min
  • 8:52STLZach Dean · Interferencedrawn by Dillon Boucher2 min
  • 13:08STLConnor McMichael · High stickingdrawn by Sam Rinzel2 min
  • 13:08CHISam Rinzel · Slashingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min

3rd

  • 2:21CHIDillon Boucher · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 8:04STLPius Suter · Holdingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 15:54CHIDillon Boucher · Trippingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalSTL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Ian Cole, 2nd 7:00 — CHI 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.53T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.50C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.41A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.39A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.38A. Frondell · Goal · xG 0.24A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.23I. Cole · Goal · xG 0.16R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.10N. Lardis · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.07R. Kantserov · Goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.07A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.06A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.06A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Kantserov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.04A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 4.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCHI
3.62 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL78%22%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCHI
31
Shots on goal
22
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
1/4
27
Penalty minutes
17
25
Hits
21
6
Blocked shots
12
19
Giveaways
20
11
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000+130.40110—28:28
18R. ThomasC011000.121005824:47
81D. HollowayL000+171.09400—23:13
55C. ParaykoD101+120.06110—22:42
17C. FowlerD000020.10030—21:02
21J. SnuggerudR011030.22300—19:24
25B. CarloD000-100.00210—18:24
83M. McTavishC000020.273005417:26
4T. LindsteinD000010.01000—16:27
89P. BuchnevichL000020.1900010015:57
77C. McMichaelL000010.48004—15:24
63J. NeighboursL000000.0010010012:18
15D. DvorskyR000+120.050026212:06
29J. BerggrenR101+130.35300—11:23
13A. ToropchenkoR000-100.00400—10:48
22P. SuterC000-110.000023609:27
52Z. DeanC000-110.18102006:43
23L. MaillouxD000010.051017—05:54
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)22193.8641.77-1.2357:28

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).