Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues
TV STLNHL, BN+·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
33%Blackhawks
to win
67%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 2.5–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 20%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.463vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL-.223vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors STL-.081vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors STL-.612vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors CHICHI played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).