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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MNMT·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Flyers scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Maxim Schafer's goal at 7:36 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were WSH 24, PHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Aleksei Kolosov stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Lindgren (32 saves, .970), 2. Andrew Cristall (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jamie Drysdale (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Cristall1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. Drysdale1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0538211524
PHIPHI01312004137

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:31
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:32
  3. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:36
  4. WSH
    E. Frank(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:24

3rd period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    1:07
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.24Video
    5-1
    16:06

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·PHI 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:57WSHJonathan McDonald · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 7:11PHITyson Foerster · Trippingdrawn by Theodor Niederbach2 min
  • 10:10WSHEriks Mateiko · Trippingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 14:39WSHCam Allen · High sticking double minordrawn by Travis Konecny4 min

2nd

  • 12:16PHIDavid Jiricek · High stickingdrawn by Andrew Cristall2 min
  • 19:55PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by David Gucciardi2 min
  • 19:55PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by David Gucciardi2 min
  • 19:55WSHDavid Gucciardi · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 19:55WSHDavid Gucciardi · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

3rd

  • 1:40PHIPorter Martone · Roughingdrawn by Petr Sikora2 min
  • 8:48PHINick Seeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Miroshnichenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Maxim Schafer, 2nd 7:36 — WSH 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.19O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.17M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.16O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.15N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.15T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.15N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.15A. Bump · On goal · xG 0.14A. Bump · On goal · xG 0.14P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.14A. Bump · Missed · xG 0.13S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.13T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.12T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.11M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.07P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.05M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.05P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03G. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Jiricek · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 4.1 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
2.75 G
All situations
1 G4.1
2.14 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH27%73%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 4.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
24
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
54C. AllenD000+220.08004—21:39
41R. ChesleyD000+200.00430—21:37
50L. BelpedioD011-100.09200—19:54
81S. SmallmanR011030.460103319:02
45L. MuggliD000+200.01200—18:09
39J. McDonaldD000+200.02112—18:06
53E. FrankR101-130.46000—17:47
93D. GucciardiD000-100.00004—16:19
28A. CristallL112030.46200—16:04
14L. LakovicL101+140.71010—15:34
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000+120.05220—15:27
71T. KopffC000+110.120003315:01
66P. SikoraC011+100.003104614:47
58E. MateikoL000+120.012225614:34
23T. NiederbachC101+120.040205014:26
18T. ParascakR000+210.01000—13:14
65M. SchaferL101+110.14200—10:54
91A. SuzdalevL011+100.00010—09:26
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)33321.9703.49+2.4940:00
47C. Petersen4401.0000.63+0.6320:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).