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Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3. The Canucks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 18:22 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were SEA 28, VAN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Montour (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake DeBrusk (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    B. Montour1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. DeBrusk1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA2801218328
VANVAN14111215430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:13
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:51
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:15

2nd period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:31

3rd period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:29
  2. VAN
    Z. Buium(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:05
  3. VAN
    slapxG 0.15win prob +45 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:22

Penalties

SEA 13 PIM·VAN 9 PIM

1st

  • 1:40VANLinus Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 10:56SEARyker Evans · Holding the stickdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 9:47SEAAdam Larsson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Kevin Lankinen2 min
  • 17:37VANFilip Hronek · Trippingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

3rd

  • 9:13SEAAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 16:22SEARyan Winterton · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 16:22VANElias Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Winterton5 min
  • 16:22SEARyan Winterton · Fightingdrawn by Elias Pettersson5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalSEA goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 18:22 — VAN 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.55E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.38E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.20M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.18B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.16J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.12L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Buium · Goal · xG 0.12D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.11D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.09L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.07M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lekkerimäki · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsVAN
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.01 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA32%68%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
30
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/2
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
14
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
7
15
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD112020.05100—24:17
29V. DunnD000+110.04010—20:49
74B. McMannC101020.2920010020:27
9C. StephensonC000020.160203820:22
41R. EvansD000010.13122—19:43
6A. LarssonD000000.02024—18:49
55R. LindgrenD000-110.00000—17:49
7J. EberleR000+100.00000—16:35
78O. Fisker MolgaardC000-100.001004016:21
8C. FleuryD011030.05030—15:57
89F. GaudreauC000-130.040103114:33
63J. MelansonR000-110.07910—13:46
10M. BeniersC011020.320005013:36
84K. KakkoR011-110.07000—13:08
51S. WrightC011+140.3901010013:06
19J. McCannL000010.01000—12:57
27B. CattonC101+120.27000012:07
26R. WintertonC011+120.11007—10:40
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)30264.8673.01-0.9958:47

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).