Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken
TV Prime Video, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Canucks
to win
64%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors SEA.439vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SEA-.225vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.089vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA-1.04vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
- Back-to-backfavors VANVAN and SEA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · SEA Lane Lambert
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
V. Dunn33
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).