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Penguins at Sabres
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT+·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ville Koivunen's goal at 10:56 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 24, BUF 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Ryan McLeod (1 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G), 3. Ville Koivunen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    R. McLeod1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    V. Koivunen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT290718324
BUFBUF0110914124

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(1)
    T. Novak (1), D. Carlile (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:00
  2. PIT
    V. Koivunen(1)
    H. Lapierre (2), B. Rust (3)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:56

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(1)PPG
    O. Power (4), N. Ostlund (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:30
  2. PIT
    N. Robertson(2)EN
    R. Rakell (1), T. van Riemsdyk (1)
    backhandxG 0.96win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:55

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:25PITEgor Chinakhov · Hookingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 11:26BUFJosh Norris · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

2nd

  • 0:26PITRickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

3rd

  • 9:39PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPIT goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Ville Koivunen, 1st 10:56 — PIT 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.20J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.18L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.15J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.13R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.13J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.13T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.12O. Power · On goal · xG 0.11J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.11K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.09J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.07P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.05R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.05P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.04P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Metsa · Missed · xG 0.03R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF1 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBUF
4.42 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.52 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT63%37%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBUF
24
Shots on goal
24
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
9
20
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72D. CarlileD011+210.11310—22:24
6K. KorczakD000000.01210—20:45
49S. GirardD000010.05120—20:44
22H. LapierreC011+130.340201118:48
65E. KarlssonD000+200.02100—18:46
57T. van RiemsdykD011+110.02110—18:44
71E. MalkinC000+120.49112—17:45
58K. LetangD000+100.00200—17:05
59E. ChinakhovR000040.40102—16:42
18T. NovakC011+100.030004016:29
87S. CrosbyC101+220.840004716:03
41V. KoivunenR101+130.6101010015:38
14N. RobertsonL101+110.96030—15:34
67R. RakellR011+120.07102—14:59
11F. HallanderC000000.11100014:17
2R. McGroartyR000030.2530010011:20
26T. BrozC000000.001003810:07
17B. RustR011+110.070305008:04
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(W)24231.9582.16+1.1659:55

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).