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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSGSN, MSG·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 6-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Bjorkstrand's goal at 3:48 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 46% to 58%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYR 27, NYI 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (15 saves, .938), 2. Adam Fox (3 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin15 saves, .938
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR21031116627
NYINYI050516116

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:48
  2. NYR
    J. Miller(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:43

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (2), M. Rempe (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:27
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    13:12
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-0
    17:04

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.11Video
    6-0
    1:23
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.05Video
    6-1
    11:22

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·NYI 22 PIM

1st

  • 4:27NYIMitchell Chaffee · Holdingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 10:52NYRPavel Dorofeyev · Trippingdrawn by Kashawn Aitcheson2 min
  • 15:07NYRNoah Laba · Slashingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min

2nd

  • 5:20NYIEmil Heineman · Hookingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 14:41NYIMatthew Kessel · Roughingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 14:41NYRBraden Schneider · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min
  • 14:41NYRBraden Schneider · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min
  • 14:41NYIMatthew Kessel · Roughingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min

3rd

  • 0:24NYIRyan Pulock · Hookingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 3:16NYIMatthew Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 16:54NYIKashawn Aitcheson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Bjorkstrand, 1st 3:48 — NYR 46% → 58%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.26E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.20D. Prokhorov · On goal · xG 0.20M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.17M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.17A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.11D. Prokhorov · On goal · xG 0.09I. George · On goal · xG 0.05P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.05C. Eiserman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.03P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.03M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kuefler · Missed · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kuefler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01D. Prokhorov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 1.6 xG · 21 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
2.86 G
All situations
1 G1.6
2.34 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 57 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR72%28%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
16
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
22
24
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
17
20
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26M. PetterssonD011+100.00310—22:14
5S. DurziD011010.02100—21:17
44V. GavrikovD011+210.06110—20:35
63A. SmitsD000+110.01110—18:18
23A. FoxD033+220.08000—17:53
24T. KartyeL101+120.05200—17:02
90J. VelenoC000+120.120203316:59
4B. SchneiderD000000.00214—16:42
16P. DorofeyevR022+120.32002—16:04
13A. LafrenièreL000+110.16100—15:33
10J. MillerC112+220.250003615:02
93M. ZibanejadC112010.262107314:57
50W. CuylleL101030.511005014:44
17E. TolvanenR000020.31200—14:38
42N. LabaC011020.094025014:29
73M. RempeC011+100.00310—13:43
28O. BjorkstrandR101+140.44100—13:05
94G. PerreaultR101+110.14000—12:51
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)16151.9381.64+0.6459:54

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).