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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸2
Minnesota Wild
1
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Thomas Harley's goal at 18:38 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 18, MIN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jesper Wallstedt stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Thomas Harley (1 G), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Harley1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL171902218
MINMIN0717013127

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(1)
    O. Bäck (1), J. Kiviranta (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:18

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(1)
    B. Coleman (1), M. Boldy (1)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:54
  2. DAL
    T. Harley(2)
    M. Rantanen (2), J. Benn (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:38

Penalties

DAL 43 PIM·MIN 43 PIM

1st

  • 3:57DALTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 15:09DALMikko Rantanen · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 18:06MINNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 14:43MINMarcus Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 16:26MINYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

3rd

  • 2:58DALNils Lundkvist · Holdingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 13:51MINMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Nils Lundkvist2 min
  • 18:44DALThomas Harley · Fightingdrawn by Matt Boldy5 min
  • 18:44MINMatt Boldy · Fightingdrawn by Thomas Harley5 min
  • 18:44DALThomas Harley · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:44MINMatt Boldy · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:08DALJustin Hryckowian · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 19:08DALJamie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 19:08DALJustin Hryckowian · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 19:08MINMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Justin Hryckowian5 min
  • 19:08MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Benn5 min
  • 19:08DALJustin Hryckowian · Game misconduct10 min
  • 19:08MINMichael McCarron · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Thomas Harley, 2nd 18:38 — DAL 49% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.45K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.16M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.12M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.03N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01
MIN1 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
1.82 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL40%60%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
18
Shots on goal
27
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
0/4
43
Penalty minutes
43
20
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
16
18
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000020.07010—25:35
55T. HarleyD101+130.111115—21:56
53W. JohnstonC000-130.130005620:39
96M. RantanenR011-100.0730210020:35
21J. RobertsonL000010.40000—19:29
23E. LindellD000-100.00040—19:09
24R. HintzC000020.180205017:50
5N. LundkvistD000010.37022—16:59
6L. BichselD000+100.00310—15:10
49J. HryckowianC000000.04401710015:03
57T. MyersD000+100.00002—14:49
91T. SeguinC000+100.002002913:57
18S. SteelC000030.19410012:59
14J. BennL011+100.00205—12:41
12R. FaksaC101+110.020005811:57
25A. HyryR000010.201006711:47
10O. BäckC011+100.000105011:39
22J. KivirantaL011+110.02000—10:54
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)27261.9632.29+1.2960:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).