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Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

FinalTV KSTC·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 2-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Seminoff's goal at 15:33 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were MIN 24, DAL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Rémi Poirier stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Rémi Poirier (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Kyle Capobianco (2 A), 3. Matthew Seminoff (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Poirier24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    K. Capobianco2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Seminoff1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0508011024
DALDAL0411119224

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:33

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:39

Penalties

MIN 17 PIM·DAL 11 PIM

1st

  • 11:12DALTrey Taylor · High stickingdrawn by Jagger Joshua2 min
  • 14:34MINMatt Kiersted · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

2nd

  • 1:39DALMatthew Seminoff · Fightingdrawn by Carson Lambos5 min
  • 1:39MINCarson Lambos · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Seminoff5 min
  • 2:11MINHunter Haight · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min
  • 3:21MINViking Gustafsson Nyberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:44DALLian Bichsel · Interferencedrawn by Mason Shaw2 min
  • 15:52MINJagger Joshua · Slashingdrawn by Emil Hemming2 min

3rd

  • 8:28MINViking Gustafsson Nyberg · Hookingdrawn by Ellis Rickwood2 min
  • 11:01DALTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Hunter Haight2 min
  • 11:01MINHunter Haight · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Seminoff, 2nd 15:33 — DAL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.22M. Seminoff · Goal · xG 0.20M. Sgarbossa · On goal · xG 0.15E. Rickwood · On goal · xG 0.15L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.14D. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.12E. Hemming · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.09A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.07A. Shlaine · On goal · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seminoff · On goal · xG 0.04T. Taylor · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sgarbossa · Missed · xG 0.04A. Shlaine · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
1.40 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN33%67%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
24
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/2
Power play
0/5
17
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
27
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
82D. SpacekD000-150.13000—24:02
48D. HuntD000000.12100—21:31
15C. StramelC000040.320107020:59
8B. DexheimerD000000.00010—18:53
23D. GambrellC000010.02000—17:54
78N. SturmC000010.052207517:52
6V. Gustafsson NybergD000-110.01124—17:51
55C. LambosD000-100.01025—17:47
37H. HaightC000-150.323143316:40
26M. KierstedD000-100.00102—16:32
19T. PitlickC000000.02210—14:03
61R. LorenzL000000.01100—13:55
28J. KirklandC000-100.002005013:33
58R. HeidtC000-100.00000—13:01
74K. LemireR000-100.14100—11:36
76C. BankierC000-110.010006711:34
18M. ShawC000060.27110—11:32
27J. JoshuaL000-100.00202—10:54
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(L)24222.9172.25+0.2557:51

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).