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Islanders at Rangers
NHL

New York Islanders at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
New York Rangers
3
FinalTV MSGSN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The Islanders came back from three goals down. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matias Maccelli's goal at 9:29 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 54% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 28, NYR 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 10 of 10 (1.000), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matias Maccelli (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Schaefer (1 G, 2 A), 3. Pavel Dorofeyev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Maccelli2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Schaefer1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    P. Dorofeyev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0821228428
NYRNYR152608319

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Beaudoin(1)
    E. Tolvanen (1), S. Durzi (1)
    wristxG 0.60win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:23

2nd period

  1. NYR
    P. Dorofeyev(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (1), J. Miller (1)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:03
  2. NYR
    T. Raddysh(1)
    A. Smits (1), B. Schneider (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:20
  3. NYI
    K. MacLean(1)
    M. Chaffee (1), C. Cizikas (1)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:36
  4. NYI
    M. Schaefer(1)PPG
    M. Maccelli (1), B. Schenn (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:47

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Maccelli(1)PPG
    B. Horvat (1), M. Schaefer (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:02
  2. NYI
    M. Maccelli(2)PPG
    M. Schaefer (2), K. Palmieri (1)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:29

Penalties

NYI 11 PIM·NYR 19 PIM

1st

  • 4:02NYIKyle Palmieri · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

2nd

  • 8:18NYREeli Tolvanen · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 14:05NYIScott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Liam Greentree5 min
  • 14:05NYRLiam Greentree · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
  • 17:19NYRCole Beaudoin · Hookingdrawn by Victor Eklund2 min
  • 19:02NYROliver Bjorkstrand · Cross checkingdrawn by Isaiah George2 min

3rd

  • 2:17NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Mitchell Chaffee2 min
  • 6:42NYROliver Bjorkstrand · Roughingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 6:42NYIBo Horvat · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 8:40NYRAlexis Lafrenière · High stickingdrawn by Calum Ritchie2 min
  • 13:05NYIKashawn Aitcheson · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Roobroeck2 min
  • 13:05NYRDylan Roobroeck · Roughingdrawn by Kashawn Aitcheson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Matias Maccelli, 3rd 9:29 — NYI 54% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Beaudoin · Goal · xG 0.60J. Chmelar · On goal · xG 0.24A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.16E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chmelar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Smits · Missed · xG 0.01L. Greentree · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.0
1.03 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI68%32%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
28
Shots on goal
19
50%
Faceoffs
50%
3/5
Power play
0/1
11
Penalty minutes
19
22
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD123-160.43100—27:14
14B. HorvatC011010.393024519:49
36I. GeorgeD000020.12100—19:20
77T. DeAngeloD000010.03000—19:14
63M. MaccelliL213020.14110—19:08
21K. PalmieriC011010.04102—19:03
10B. SchennC011010.072103317:57
3A. PelechD000010.01210—17:48
24S. MayfieldD000-100.00055—15:09
64C. RitchieC000030.390005014:59
37K. AitchesonD000-210.10012—14:48
92S. HolmstromR000000.0011010014:44
73V. EklundR000-240.2921010014:10
44J. PageauC000-220.513005013:07
53C. CizikasC011000.001005512:49
32K. MacLeanC101020.48010—12:31
57C. EisermanL000-210.01200—11:24
26M. ChaffeeR011000.10220—10:46
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)101001.0000.76+0.7630:15
30I. Sorokin963.6671.38-1.6229:45

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).